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August 16 by-elections reveal a deeper problem

Last week’s [August 16] by-elections across various constituencies in Nigeria were closely watched, not because they were expected to shift the national balance of power, but because they were seen as a preview of what might happen in the 2027 general elections. At first glance, the ruling APC had little reason to worry. The party won most of the contested seats and maintained its dominance in several traditional strongholds.

But beneath the surface, the results told a far more troubling story. It was not about the APC’s strength, but about the weakening state of Nigeria’s democracy.

The by-elections did not shock APC with any major losses. What they exposed instead was the deep moral and institutional decay of Nigeria’s electoral process. The most alarming pattern was the widespread and brazen vote-buying that took place across many polling units. Reports from independent observers, journalists, and citizens on social media revealed that voters were being offered as much as ₦25,000 in exchange for their votes.

For many Nigerians, this was not a surprise. It was confirmation of what has become a depressing norm. In a country battered by rising inflation, massive unemployment, and chronic insecurity, ₦25,000 can mean a lot to a struggling family. It can buy food for a week or pay off an urgent medical bill. In such dire conditions, voters are not choosing candidates based on policies or promises. They are choosing based on survival.

What is even more disturbing than the vote-buying itself is the growing resignation among the electorate. Many Nigerians no longer believe elections are a tool for real change. They view the electoral process as a transaction, not a decision about the future. For them, democracy no longer inspires hope. It simply offers a brief moment of relief through cash handouts before another four years of betrayal and hardship.

This is not voter apathy. It is voter disillusionment. People have not stopped voting because they do not care. They have stopped because they do not believe it matters. As long as poverty and hopelessness dominate daily life, this cycle will continue. Politicians will exploit desperation, voters will accept crumbs, and nothing will change.

APC’s “victories” in these by-elections may seem like a show of strength, but they are actually built on a fragile foundation. Winning elections through inducement, intimidation, or manipulation does not reflect public trust. It reflects control of state resources and the use of poverty as a weapon.

No serious democracy can thrive under such conditions. A government elected not through informed choice, but through hunger and manipulation, cannot claim moral legitimacy. The celebration of electoral wins that were bought with cash is not only dishonest, it is dangerous. It fuels public cynicism and erodes what little trust remains in the democratic process.

If the by-elections were a preview of 2027, then Nigerians should be deeply concerned. The message was not that APC will lose in 2027. It was that the ruling party may continue to win through deeply flawed and undemocratic means, while citizens remain trapped in poverty and political despair.

This reality makes one thing clear. The 2027 election will not be won through social media campaigns, passionate speeches, or viral slogans. It will be determined in rural towns and urban slums, where votes are sold out of hunger and fear. It will be shaped by how much money politicians are willing to spend, and how little hope citizens have left.

If Nigerians truly want change in 2027, then the battle must begin now. Not just against the APC, but against the culture of transactional politics that keeps Nigerians poor, divided, and voiceless. Civil society, the opposition, religious leaders, and young people must wake up to the scale of the challenge.

Awareness campaigns, voter education, grassroots organizing, and economic empowerment must begin today, not three months before the election.

To fix this broken system, Nigeria needs more than new candidates. It needs a new political culture. First, there must be massive voter education which the parties, candidates and civil society should take charge. People must be reminded that their votes are not just for sale. They are the key to long-term change. Accepting paltry sum today may mean four more years of suffering tomorrow.

Second, electoral reform is essential. INEC must be strengthened, and laws against vote-buying must be enforced with real consequences. Politicians who engage in electoral fraud should face disqualification and prosecution. We need this electoral reforms as soon as possible and close to elections.

There must be greater accountability. Both ruling and opposition parties must be held accountable by the people. Nigerians must stop celebrating politicians who give handouts while failing to deliver real governance.

The recent by-elections were not just about local seats. They were a mirror reflecting the state of Nigeria’s democracy, and the image was not flattering. If nothing changes, the 2027 elections will be another cycle of disappointment, where votes are bought, hope is sold, and the country remains in the same crisis it has been stuck in for decades.

But if Nigerians rise up with a renewed commitment to real democracy, one built on justice, accountability, and dignity, then there is still hope. Not just for 2027, but for the future of the country.

The question now is simple. Will Nigerians allow themselves to be bought again, or will they finally demand the leadership they deserve?

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